Buy Strength, Sell Weakness

Buy Strength, Sell Weakness

Green Lines No Worries.. For Now

Week 39 - Equity Portfolio Update

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Christopher Moir
Sep 21, 2025
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All green on the board again after a short term wiggle.

6521 to break momentum

6133 to break trend

All Strength of Signal (SoS) are rising.

We remain in the green zone where SPX spends 65% of its trading time. This zone has a narrow but positively skewed distribution.

Mr Croissant says Vanna and Charm will decrease into month end.

VIXperation has been and gone. The path travelled can get funky from here. I have no pearls of wisdom because there are none.

Don’t over complicate it! Before we break trend we have to break momentum. Use it as risk toggle.


  • Current Open Equity = 32.1%

  • Stop Loss Trigger = 30.3%

  • Current Closed Equity Return = 29.7%

Our open equity outstanding is ~32% since we started in Dec ‘23. We have been able to capture ~30% returns in closed trades, meaning ~3% open equity still belongs to Mr Market. Until we close the trade it doesn’t yet belong to us!

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