~2% move lower at the index level before we start hitting decision points.
Have we done enough to make it through the end of the month “Window of Weakness”?
Are we heading into the summer fun? When I say fun I mean grinding 30-40bps higher day after day.
Monthly Signal Strength rebound.
After a post Nvidia day blip realised volatility continues lower?
For those that have access to the portfolio closing all positions tomorrow at current triggers would put us at a new portfolio high +18%
Behind this fog of war, I construct a portfolio of the 50 stocks in the SP500 with high and rising signal strength. Free of any priors or bias I don’t care if Twitter says we are going into recession and my system is piling into high beta growth stocks. I have a system to get us out if we are wrong. It’s a game of percentages. It’s boring and often there is nothing to write about, but it beats trying to trade using stories that we tell each other.
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