Long Energy as a Recession Hedge?

Week 12 - Equity Portfolio Update

Mar 23, 2025

∙ Paid

I highly recommend using the link to view these posts in a desktop browser. Substack limits the size of emails, and since I use a lot of images, some readers have been missing important data by only viewing the truncated email.

Daily timeframe:

We are at roughly the same levels of signal strength as we were on Halloween 2023. The same level of sell-off -10% but we took a month to get here instead of three.

Others:

Greater explanations of where we are and where we could be going as always is below the paywall.

If you are leaving us shortly have an amazing week!

Current Open Equity = 30.6%
Stop Loss Trigger = 29%
Current Closed Equity Return = 29.6%

Our open equity outstanding is ~31% since we started in Dec ‘23. We have been able to capture ~29% returns in closed trades, meaning ~2% open equity still belongs to Mr Market. Until we close the trade it doesn’t yet belong to us!

If all our stop losses hit bar any gap risk we hope to close ~29%

It cannot always be rosy! There is no free lunch we have to risk losing to be in the game to win. We could have a -0.6% reduction on closed equity.

People can use this link to access a 30day extended trial!!

https://www.thousandairespx.com/extratrial

You can thank Mr Bloodbringer for this extended trial.

If I could ban him from using it I would as he is the very worst of whiners. He appears to be a non-lambo bitcoin bro and he works for BlackRock!! Bitching about $25 :)

And our current open positions: